Labels

Bernanke (24) Obama (24) Clinton (15) Bush (14) Federal Reserve Bank (14) Budget (10) Quantitative Easing (10) Romney (10) Afghanistan (8) Congress (8) Iraq (8) Social Security (8) Wall Street (8) Deficit (7) Reagan (7) Stock Market (7) China (6) Egypt (6) Fiscal Cliff (6) Medicare (6) United States (6) Federal Government (5) Germany (5) President (5) Supreme Court (5) Syria (5) Broadwell (4) Economy (4) Japan (4) Lady Gaga (4) Madonna (4) Petraeus (4) Princeton University (4) Russia (4) Turkey (4) Voodoo (4) Allen (3) Apple (3) Biden (3) Cyprus (3) Democratic (3) Election (3) France (3) GE (3) Goldman Sachs (3) Hillary Clinton (3) Homosexual Marriage (3) Iran (3) Italy (3) Kelley (3) Kennedy (3) Lewinsky (3) Lincoln (3) Middle East (3) New York Times (3) Presidential Campaign (3) Republican (3) Reuters (3) Sandy (3) Secretary of State (3) Tea Party (3) Verdi (3) White House (3) Wilson (3) iPhone (3) Assad (2) Associated Press (2) Bloomberg (2) Brzeziński (2) CIA (2) Cameron (2) Canada (2) Cheney (2) Christie (2) Conlon (2) Cuba (2) Cuomo (2) Department of Labor (2) Depression (2) Domingo (2) Donizetti (2) Economic Advisory Panel (2) Feinstein (2) Geithner (2) Goldman-Sachs (2) Immelt (2) Inflation (2) Jackson Hole (2) Jefferson (2) Karzai (2) Khawam (2) La Traviata (2) Lindsay Lohan (2) Lybia (2) Metropolitan Opera (2) Michael Jackson (2) Monetary Stimulus (2) Mubarak (2) Murrow (2) NATO (2) New York (2) New York City - Business as Usual (2) Nixon (2) Noseda (2) Olsen (2) Operation Twist (2) Pakistan (2) Palin (2) Paulsen (2) Reaganomics (2) Recession (2) Roberts (2) Saudi Arabia (2) Sotomayor (2) Steve Jobs (2) Teachers (2) Thanksgiving (2) Treasury (2) United Nations (2) Walker (2) Willy Decker (2) Yellen (2) 47% (1) 9/11 (1) 99% (1) AIG (1) AT&T (1) Air France (1) Amsterdam (1) Amtrak (1) Android (1) Annabella Battistella (1) Aphrodite (1) Arab Spring (1) Assange (1) Bachmann (1) Baghdad (1) Bahrain (1) Banks (1) Beatles (1) Beijing (1) Belcher (1) Beyoncé (1) Bieber (1) Big Gulp (1) Bismark (1) Blair (1) Blaze Starr (1) Blood and Treasure (1) Boehner (1) Bolena (1) Boleyn (1) Booz Allen Hamilton (1) Borders (1) Bourdain (1) Britain (1) Bruce Springsteen (1) Burkhardt (1) Butterfield (1) CPAC (1) California (1) Callas (1) Carter (1) Cavuto (1) Cenerentola (1) Charitable Donations (1) Charity (1) Chicago (1) Chocolate (1) Christine Lagarde (1) Christmas (1) Chrstie (1) Chuck Norris (1) Clapper (1) Clement (1) College Education Cost (1) Con Edison (1) Connecticut (1) Constitution (1) Copland (1) Corona (1) Costas (1) Cæsar (1) Dallas (1) Damrau (1) Debt Ceiling (1) Deen (1) Deregulation (1) Diamonds (1) Die Welt (1) Dior (1) Dirksen (1) Discount Window (1) Doctor (1) Don Pasquale (1) Donnelley (1) Dreyfus (1) Dumas (1) Easter (1) Economic Crisis (1) Ecuador (1) Edwards. Lowell (1) Elvis Presley (1) Embassy (1) England (1) Erdoğan (1) Euro (1) FBI (1) FDP (1) FISA; (1) Facebook (1) Fanne Fox (1) Fauci (1) Financial (1) Fire (1) Fisher (1) Flowers (1) Football (1) Fordo (1) Forgotten War (1) Fox (1) GE Capital (1) GM; Stock Exchange (1) Gavazzeni (1) Gay (1) General Motors (1) Gomez (1) Google (1) Graham (1) Greenspan (1) Gulf of Tonkin (1) Gun (1) Haley (1) Hamas (1) Hans Hilfiker (1) Happy New Year (1) Health Insurance (1) Helmand (1) High School (1) Holder (1) Hong Kong (1) Humphries (1) IMF (1) IRS (1) ISAF (1) Iceland (1) Idaho (1) Ides of March (1) Income Tax (1) India (1) Interest (1) Internet (1) Irrational Exuberence (1) Israel (1) Jeffrey Immelt (1) Jones (1) Jordan (1) Junwait (1) Justice Department (1) Kardashian (1) Kasich (1) Kemoklidze (1) Kenya (1) Kerry (1) Kevin Yoder (1) Kim Jong-Un (1) Korea (1) LIRR (1) La Scala (1) Lac-Mégantic (1) Laptop (1) Latour (1) Le Monde (1) Libya (1) London (1) Louis Armstrong (1) Love (1) MRI (1) Macbeth (1) Macchiavelli (1) Madison (1) Making of the President (1) Manhattan (1) McCain (1) McLuhan (1) Merkel (1) Mike Huckabee (1) Miley Cyrus (1) Mormons (1) Morsi (1) Moslems (1) Motorla (1) Muslim (1) NBC News (1) NBCNews.com (1) NRA (1) Nader (1) Nairobi (1) Nasdaq (1) National Rifle Association (1) National Security (1) Navy Yard (1) New Year (1) Newtown (1) Nicaragua (1) North Dakota (1) North Korea (1) Nucci (1) Nézet-Séguin (1) Obamacare (1) Obstruction of Justice (1) Opera (1) Ormandy (1) Ostern (1) Palestinian (1) Paris Hilton (1) Parma (1) Pennsylvania Station (1) Perkins (1) Pessach (1) Petræus (1) Plane (1) Poland (1) Polygamy (1) Poplavskaya (1) Pork (1) Postal Service (1) Pot (1) Putin (1) Qum (1) Québec (1) Rape (1) Recovery (1) Related Companies (1) Ring Fire (1) Rolling Stone (1) Roses (1) Rubio (1) Ryan (1) SBB (1) SEC (1) Salahi (1) Salvation Army (1) Siemens (1) Siff (1) Simionato (1) Simpson (1) Sinatra (1) Singapore (1) Sky News (1) Smith (1) Snowden (1) Sofitel (1) Solis (1) Souter Justice (1) South Korea (1) Spinoza (1) St. Clair (1) St.Valentine (1) State Department (1) Stephen Ross (1) Stevens (1) Stevenson (1) Strauss-Kahn (1) Student Loan (1) Suez (1) Sunni (1) Swiss (1) Switzerland (1) Tablet (1) Tampa (1) Tax (1) Teheran (1) Television (1) Terrorism (1) The Medium is the Message (1) The New York Times (1) The Prince (1) Theodore H. White (1) Three Muses (1) Tim Cook (1) Todd Akin (1) Trump (1) Tunisia (1) Unemployment (1) Union (1) United States v. Windsor (1) University (1) Valentine (1) Venezuela (1) Venus (1) Verilli (1) Verizon (1) Volcker (1) WND (1) Walmart (1) Warsaw (1) Washington (1) Watergate (1) Waziristan (1) Welch (1) Westerwelle (1) Westinghouse Brake (1) Wiki Leaks (1) Wisconsin (1) Woods (1) Wyoming (1) Yemen (1) Yosemite (1) Zeus (1) Zola (1) Zuckerberg (1) iPad (1) la Pierre (1)
Posts mit dem Label Operation Twist werden angezeigt. Alle Posts anzeigen
Posts mit dem Label Operation Twist werden angezeigt. Alle Posts anzeigen

Sonntag, 28. Oktober 2012

The $ 1 Billion Presidential Election: One Billion Dollars and 10 Days to go

Way back then, way back when, in the 1960's an American writer by the Name of Theodore H. White came up with a brilliant Idea:  write a Book each four Years entitled ,,The Making of the President."  The Idea met with great Success.  Theodore H. White, who first wrote ,,The Making of the President 1960'' about the historic Kennedy-Nixon Campaign, went on to write Sequels about subsequent Presidential Elections, none as succesful as his First One, but still, all of them succesful enough.  Today, this Tradition seems to have faded.

So, one wonders, what insightful Issue might be noteworthy enough to bring to the Forefront if one were to write a Book titled ,,The Making of the President 2012.''  Several Campaign Issues which have been played up by the two Candidates come to mind.

§  Jobs - this is an Issue that impacts every American.

§  The Economy - again, this is an Issue that also impacts every American as well.

Other Issues, be they in the Area of Foreign Policy, Women's Rights, Homosexual Rights, Minority and Immigration Issues, are all Policy Issues, which, while being important enough and likely to affect the Outcome of the Election in a profound Manner, are still issues which, directly, ipso Facto, do not directly and imminently affect every American in the same Way that Jobs and the Economy (Two Facets of one and the same Issue) do.

However, there is another Aspect which does affect each and every American and, at that, in a profound Way and that is the Deficit.  Currently at $ 16 Trillion (it was 11 Trillion when President George W. Bush left Office) it is projected to rise in the upcoming Four Years, regardless of which Candidate wins the coveted Office.

http://economywatch.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/15/14453514-whether-its-obama-or-romney-either-will-face-huge-obstacles-on-economy?lite

And, aside from Generalities which are difficult to pin in Terms of tangible Policies, neither Candidate has a stark, aggressive and palpably effective Plan to deal with this Morass.  Even more worrysome is the Fact that the Federal Debt is held largely in foreign Hands, China, surprisingly, Japan (No. 2), according to several Reports and then followed by other Countries.

More worrysome is the Fact that under Mr. Bernanke's Policies, the Federal Deficit has become more susceptible to short Term Effects, this, because of Mr. Bernanke's Implementation of something he calls ,,Operation Twist'' under which the Fed is retiring as much as possible of the Long Term Debt, in exchange for Short Term Debt at somewhat lower Interest Rates.

This, of course, has the Effect of reducing, in the Short Term, the Federal Deficit which would be worse if the Interest Rates paid by the Federal Government were higher rather than lower, as they would become and are becoming, under the Policy of swapping higher Interest Long Term Debt for (slightly) lower Interest Short Term Debt, sometimes as short as a Month, a Week, or even a Day.

http://bottomline.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/11/14370868-washington-must-avoid-fiscal-cliff-goldmans-blankfein-warns?lite

However, there is serious Danger in the Policy being pursued by Mr. Bernanke.  Any Increase in the Interest Rates (on which the Fed has mercilessly kept the Lid on), would be ruinous for the Federal Debt.  Higher Interest Rates would push Interest Expenses into the Stratosphere, worsen the Deficit and Situations like that are ocurring right now not only in Greece, but also in places like Italy and Spain.  Mr. Bernanke does not tell us what Plan he has to deal with these Dangers and, what the Heck?  He wants to retire after his current Term expires.  Let someone else deal with that Problem.

 

But for the Presidential Candidates, there is another Aspect.  The President of the United States, or an Aspirant to that High Office, the Highest Office in the Land can set an Example.  An Example of a Modecum of Fiscal Discipline.  And, Mr. Obama, who has been unable to exercise this and Mr. Romney who claims he has ,,Experience'' in Fiscal Discipline have both set an unglorious Example:  this will be the First Presidental Election which will cost more than $ 1 Billion, which, as everyone else knows, is $ 1000 Million, that is to say, the Equivalent of $ 3,00 being spent for each Man, Woman and Child in the United States; that includes everyone, voting or non voting.


A significant Part of this Expenditure is yet to happen and it is about to happen now:  in the last 10 hectic Days of the Election, on an unprecedented Advertising Blitz by both Candidates.  That means, the Candidates would not be spending the Bulk of this Money on explaining or discussing the Issues which affect the Nation but rather, spending the Money on Advertising of one Sort of another.  Someone even before Theodore H. White said that the campaign for President of the United States is akin to selling a Box of Cereal on Television.

 http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/17/14511630-ad-spending-tops-800-million-on-pace-to-reach-or-come-close-to-1-billion?lite

What Confidence can this Kind of senseless Spending instill in the Electorate that the succesful Candidate Ten Days from now, is going to have what it takes and it is going to take a Lot, an awful Lot, to bring Sense and Reason to a Financial Mumbo Jumbo built Brick by Brick by President Reagan with his Supply Side Economics Theories, President Clinton with his ,,Take the Money from here, put it there and balance the Budget'' Theories,  President Bush with his we can do two Wars at the same Time and do everything else at the same Time Theories, Mr. Greenspan with his ,,Irrational Exuberence'' Theories,  Mr. Bernanke with his ,,Operation Twist'' Theories and, and...Mr. Obama who, regardless of what one's Opinion might be of him, certainly was faced, for the last Four Years with a nagging Question:  how do we get out of this Mess which took so long to create?

One Way, admittedly four Years later that both he and Mr. Romney could have done was:  don't spend this Kind of ,,Irrational Exuberance'' Money to be elected President.

Samstag, 20. Oktober 2012

The Problem with President Clinton

The Problem the Democrats have with President Clinton, but do not or do not want to recognize, at least not yet, is similar to the Problem Republicans have with President Reagan but, it may be, that Republicans do not recognize their Problem, not yet anyway, either.  Certainly, the Republicans do not want to recognize it, though.

However, President Reagan has slowly began to fade from Memory, that ,,Great Communicator'' who had to have ,,Handlers'' when it came to Presidential Debates.  President Reagan caused enormous and, one might say, irreparable Damage by stimulating the Economy with enormous Deficits which expanded the Economy, created a Lot of rich People but also started the Build Up of an unprecedented Debt Load.  After a brief Hiatus during the 4 Year Presidency of President George H. W. Bush (Bush ,,41'', who called ,,Reaganomics'' ,,Voodoo Economics'') President Clinton not only continued President Reagan's Tradition but even praised it.

So now President Clinton whose salacious Activities with Monica Lewinsky have long ago faded from Memory, he and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton now boast, he knew how to balance the Budget.  Yeah, he did.  But how he did it is the more interesting Part.  President Clinton took the Postal Service Retirement Fund ($ 7 Billion) as well as the Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds (which were enormous Sums of Money) and threw them into the General Budget thusly creating a huge but temporary Infusion of Cash and, ,,Poof!,'' it looked as if the Budget was ,,balanced,'' but, again, only temporarily.  Now, not only the U. S. Postal Service but, far more worrying, Social Security and Medicare are in dire Straits.  Everyone is scared of raising the Payroll Tax Deduction Ceiling (now at $ 110,000 for People earning $ 110 Million, or $ 11 Million or even $ 1,1 Million because it would ,,discourage'' the Creation of new Jobs?).  President Clinton's Two Terms were then followed by the two economically disastrous Terms of President George W. Bush (Bush ,,43,'' the Dubya) and during his Term and after that, we all know what happened.  The Federal Deficit now adds up to $ 16 Trillion, give or take a Couple of Pennies and nobody has come up with a Plan of any Kind as to how this Deficit might begin to be retired.  Statements by the two Presidential Candidates, President Obama and former Governor Romney are about how they plan to reduce the Size of future Deficits and eventually reach (one hopes) a Balanced Budget, if...if this and if that and if something else, but, without raising Taxes.  Go figure.



So, when Mr. Clinton claims that the Economy is not ,,hunky dory'' but on the Mend,

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/19/14567670-clinton-lauds-obama-says-economy-not-hunky-dory-but-on-the-mend?lite

it is reasonable to question his Authority at coming up with such Statements.  Actually, with the Congressional Impasse over Cuts and Taxes and with ,,Automatic Sequestrations'' being a Problem which, no matter which way it is resolved or remains unresolved, the adverse Consequences on the Economy, the Problems which will be faced by the President after he takes the Oath of Office on 20 January 2013, no Matter if it is the current President or the Republican Challenger, will be daunting, very, very daunting, indeed.  And that, while at the same Time having to deal with Mr. Bernanke's untested Theories about ,,Quantitative Easing,'' ,,Operation Twist'' and who knows what else that Mr. Bernanke might come up with.

Sometimes, we can overcomplicate Things in spite of ourselves.  The basic Truth is that just like the Republican Party is not the Party of Ronald Reagan, it is the Party of Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt; equally, the Democratic Party, it would be good to remember, is not the Party of Bill Clinton; it is the Party of Thomas Jefferson and Franklin Delano Roosevelt.  President Clinton said, when he first ran for President, ,,It's the Economy, Stupid!'' and he was right.  One could have also said at the same Time and certainly can say it now:  ,,Keep it simple, (Stupid!)''  ,,Do not solve a Problem by creating another Problem.''