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Donnerstag, 23. August 2012

The Federal Reserve likely to deliver another Round of Monetary Stimulus

Reuters reported today, 23 August 2012:

Fed ready to help economy 'fairly soon,' minutes show


The Federal Reserve is likely to deliver another round of monetary stimulus "fairly soon" unless the economy improves considerably, minutes from the central bank's August meeting show.
While the meeting was held before a recent improvement in the economic data, including a stronger-than-expected July reading for U.S. employment, policymakers were pretty categorical about their dissatisfaction with the current outlook.
"Many members judged that additional monetary accommodation would likely be warranted fairly soon unless incoming information pointed to a substantial and sustainable strengthening in the pace of the economic recovery," the Fed said in minutes to its July 31-Aug. 1 meeting.
 
Fed officials saw significant risks to an already weak economy, which grew at a sluggish 1.5 percent annual rate in the second quarter. The risks include a worsening of Europe's financial strains and the looming U.S. budget cuts and tax hikes, which have become commonly known as a fiscal cliff.
"We have seen some improvement in the data recently but whether it is enough to qualify as a significant upturn is unclear, but certainly these minutes are dovish and will revive hopes for increased Fed easing," said economist David Sloan at 4Cast Ltd.
Many Fed officials supported extending the central bank's guidance for the likely timing of an eventual interest rate hike, currently set at late 2014, further into the future. But they decided to defer the decision to the Fed's Sept. 12-13 meeting, when the central bank will release a new round of economic forecasts.
Officials also actively debated and tested the possibility of developing a consensus Fed forecast.
A couple of policymakers favored lowering the rate the Fed pays banks to park their excess reserves at the central bank, currently at 0.25 percent. But several participants worried that money market funds could run into trouble if their returns are crimped further.

The Queston which arises out of this planned Action is just how the Financial Institutions are using this Stimulus Money.  Is this Money being used to make Loans, create Jobs and build Houses or flowing into enabling Financial Institutions to engage in Financial Transactions which are of little or no Benefit to the General Populace?  Previous Rounds of Monetary Stimuli do not reveal a clear Answer to this Question, if they reveal an Answer at all.

An Examination of the Flow Distribution of such Funds might be useful in establishing a Monetary Policy which can genuinely deliver the Economic Stimulus which would have a more favorable and measurable Result than the enormous Amounts of Stimuli already delivered, which have flown into Financial Institutions over the last Five Years and which, many of us, do not know what they were used for or how they benefitted the Economy, outside of propelling the Stock Market into New Highs.

Some have even made the Argument that if the same Amount of Money were to have been evenly distributed to every Man, Woman and Child in the General Populace, either directly, or in the Form of some Benefit(s) or a Combination of these, the Spending of such Money, while, most likely, would not always have been wise but would have nonetheless resulted in such a Level of Spending that it would have undoubtedly achieved at least a temporary beneficial Result; something which has not been achieved by pumping all this enormous Amount of Mega Dollars into Banks and Financial Institutions.